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Trump's deportations could make worker shortages worse in these industries

The biggest hit on the overall economy, however, would be in manufacturing. An immediate removal of all undocumented labor would cost $74 billion in long-term manufacturing output, according to the NBER report. There would also be modest declines in wholesale and retail trade and financial activities.

How could these sectors move forward following mass deportations? It’s difficult to say, but employers may be left in the lurch as native-born American workers increasingly turn away from low-skill, labor-intensive jobs.

Take the farm industry, for example. An agricultural study released back in 2013 indicated that American workers were not compelled to take up farm labor positions, even during a period of high unemployment, per The Washington Post. A recent American Farm Bureau Federation report theorized that the reason is because of the intensity of the work— 12-hour shifts often in 100-degree weather. But turning to automated systems is also prohibitively expensive for the agriculture industry, especially for smaller farms. As a result, a massive labor shortage could result in a 5 to 6 percent jump in food prices for consumers, per the AFBF report.


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